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Johnson & Johnson vs. Eli Lilly: Which Healthcare Giant's Stock Is a Better Buy for 2027?

Yahoo! Finance ·

Key points

  • Johnson & Johnson reported FY2025 revenue around $94.2 billion, up 6% from the prior year, with net income near $26.8 billion and a net margin about 28.5%, reflecting its diversified mix of drugs, devices, and partnerships such as the AbbVie collaboration for Imbruvica.
  • Eli Lilly FY2025 revenue reached about $65.2 billion, a 44.7% rise year over year, with net income around $20.6 billion and a net margin near 31.7%, driven largely by high demand for GLP-1 therapies like Mounjaro and Zepbound.
  • J&J carries regulatory and litigation risk, including a $5.5 billion talc-related settlement in 2026, and about 30% of revenue facing U.S. patent expiration by 2032, which could heighten generic competition.
  • Lilly relies on a concentrated core: Mounjaro and Zepbound together account for about 56% of revenue, creating exposure to pricing, supply, and payer dynamics, even as the company expands its manufacturing footprint.
  • J&J operates with a near 0.6x debt-to-equity ratio and roughly 1.0x current ratio, while Lilly sits around 1.6x and 1.6x, indicating Lilly’s higher leverage but solid short-term liquidity amid expansion.
  • The two firms differ in growth profile: Lilly is viewed as the fastest-growing pharma stock with a premium valuation, while J&J is seen as an overlooked behemoth with a stronger defensive stance and a planned orthopedics separation that could alter its risk/return profile.
  • Industry dynamics—patent cliffs for J&J, continued GLP-1 momentum for Lilly, and ongoing capital investments—will shape which stock offers better risk-adjusted upside for investors aiming into 2027.

Summary

The comparison between Johnson & Johnson and Eli Lilly for 2027 frames a choice between stability and rapid growth. J&J offers a defensive, diversified portfolio with broad global reach and a 2025 revenue near $94.2 billion, supported by a sizable net income and a solid balance sheet, though it faces regulatory scrutiny and a sizeable patent cliff ahead. Lilly, by contrast, is powered by GLP-1 growth in obesity and diabetes, posting approximately $65.2 billion in FY2025 revenue with higher margins and a pattern of rapid expansion, underpinned by ongoing manufacturing scaling. Valuation separates the two, as J&J appears cheaper despite its risks, while Lilly trades at a premium reflecting its faster growth trajectory and concentration in a few key products. The forward outlook hinges on regulatory fixes, patent dynamics, and execution of Lilly’s expansion, against J&J’s potential drag from litigation, restructuring plans, and patent expirations.

This summary was written with AI. The full story has every detail.

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